Experts in meteorology are predicting a good monsoon season in 2024, with a strong likelihood of above-average rainfall in telangana and the whole nation. By July, there's a good chance that a La Nina—which is linked to intense monsoons, above-average rains, and cooler showers—will take the place of the El Nino, delivering much-needed above-average rainfall to the nation.
 
The former secretary of the Union Ministry of Earth Sciences, madhavan Rajeevan, has made it quite evident that favorable conditions are building, mainly because El Niño is losing strength and might become La Niña by July.
 
According to Rajeevan, there is more than a 50% chance of a La Niña event, which is usually associated with heavy monsoon rains in India. He emphasized the importance of the El Niño to La Niña transition, pointing out that previous examples of similar changes have frequently produced favorable monsoon results.
 
Using historical data, Rajeevan highlighted the following years: 1972–1973, 1982–1983, 1987–88, 1997–98, 2002–2003, 2009–2010, and 2015–2016; these years had robust monsoon seasons in india due to La Niña experiences that followed El Niño events. Global weather patterns, including the indian monsoon, are significantly impacted by the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon, which is characterized by anomalous rising of sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean. In india, monsoon rainfall is often suppressed by El Niño and enhanced by La Niña.
 
It's interesting to note that the indian meteorologists' forecast closely matches that of their American counterparts at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), who have projected a 60% chance of La Nina conditions developing between August–September and October.
 
Rajeevan shared his thoughts on the social networking site X, saying that such a prediction ought to spread optimism throughout the nation. La Lina has a greater than 50% chance of developing by July. Good vibes should spread throughout the nation due to the high likelihood of the 2024 monsoons, he stated.

EL Nino: The El Nino Southern Oscillations (ENSO) are commonly linked to causing extensive alterations in atmospheric conditions. This is particularly true for global weather patterns, which encompass the indian monsoon. It is linked to warm summers and ineffective monsoons.
 
La Nina: It speaks of the ENSO phase when sea surface temperatures are lower than average compared to El Nino's warmer phase. El Nino and La Nina have nearly opposing effects on weather occurrences as a result of interactions between the ocean and wind systems. La Nina is linked to colder winters, above-average rainfall, and stronger monsoons.
 
 
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SIBY JEYYA

14/02/2024 08:05 AM