Even as numerous media outlets and independent organizations issue their exit polls and post-poll survey results from Andhra Pradesh's assembly and lok sabha elections, observers believe that two elements will determine the fate of political parties. One aspect is women voters' voting patterns, while the other is whether votes were transferred among the National Democratic Alliance's alliance partners.
 
According to a media study, female voters outnumbered male votes in Andhra Pradesh. Targeted assistance measures that placed more money in their hands appear to have inspired a substantial number of people to vote.

Though it is impossible to say clearly that women voters backed the YSRCP only because of Jagan's welfare measures, overall patterns suggest this. As a result, the YSRCP hopes that women voters will come to its rescue.
 
The transfer of votes among the nda alliance partners is thought to be a crucial determining element in the alliance's success.
 
In the 2019 elections, the YSRCP received 49.89 percent of the votes, followed by the tdp with 40.19 percent, the Jana Sena with 5.8 percent, and the bjp with 0.89 percent.

This time, the tdp, bjp, and Jana Sena competed jointly, while the YSRCP ran separately. Assuming they keep their individual vote shares, the nda allies' aggregate vote share would be roughly 47 percent, while the YSRCP may skate by with 49.89 percent.
 
However, if there was an anti-incumbency feeling, the YSRCP vote share would fall while the NDA's would rise.
 
Furthermore, there is anticipation that the Y S Sharmila-led congress may further deplete the YSRCP vote bank. In such a scenario, the YSRCP may lose power, albeit by a small margin.

"This is only feasible if all votes were transferred between the tdp and the Jana Sena, the tdp and the bjp, and the bjp and the other two allies. If it does not take place in its whole, the nda may fail to gain power, according to the expert.
 
 
 

 
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Elections 2024

SIBY JEYYA

02/06/2024 08:14 AM