There may be a change in the US presidential election based on recent events. The world's largest prediction market, Polymarket, estimated that donald trump had a 72% probability of winning on July 16, 2024. It currently stands at 55%, while Kamala Harris's prospects have increased to 43%.
 
With Kamala harris entering the presidential race, the Democratic party has undergone a transformation. Kamala harris, who was once thought to be a lesser opponent, has increased the level of competition in the race, leaving Trump's team struggling to come up with winning plans and counterarguments. Trump's recent actions, such as his uncomfortable effort to disparage Harris's race during a news conference hosted by the National Association of Black Journalists, brought attention to the difficulties facing his campaign. The response over his remarks exposed a candidate who seemed to be slipping away.
 
J.D. Vance, Trump's running mate, was formerly seen to be a strength for the campaign because of his enthusiasm and ability to raise money, but now he is a problem. trump has distanced himself from Project 2025, a contentious right-wing manifesto, as a result of J.D. Vance's involvement in it, which has further complicated his campaign. The difficulties of the campaign have taken the place of Trump's previous sense of victory after an attempted assassination.
 
The governments of several countries, notably India, are now debating the possible ramifications of a harris presidency. The U.S.-Indian relationship has been India's top priority over the last five years, so big disruptions from a Kamala harris administration are unlikely. harris has represented the united states in a number of foreign affairs events and has generally adhered to the Biden administration's foreign policy.
 
During the Biden administration, she focused on Central American immigration concerns and voiced concern about Gaza's humanitarian crisis. Despite Harris's silence over her earlier critiques of the Modi administration and India's democracy, it is doubtful that her indian ancestry will have a positive impact on U.S. policy towards India. Whether donald trump can recover his footing or Kamala Harris's climb will continue will depend on how the campaign plays out and how the political environment changes.
 
 
 
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G GOWTHAM

08/08/2024 08:57 AM